A swing district and a likely pick-up for Republicans.

“Of the three South Texas districts that Republicans are targeting, the 15th would have been the closest in the 2020 presidential election. Former President Donald Trump would have carried it by 3 percentage points. But Democratic outside groups are having to defend sitting lawmakers in the two other districts, and October is traditionally a time when such groups have to make tough decisions about which races to prioritize. The DCCC is also confronting money problems as it tries to save the Democratic majority in the House.”